Milan — Fiorentina : Match Preview and Prediction for October 19,2025

Milan’s Solid Start to the Season

Massimiliano Allegri’s squad is experiencing a robust start to the campaign, firmly embedding themselves within the group of league leaders. After eight rounds of fixtures, the Rossoneri have amassed 17 points and suffered only a single defeat. The team exhibits particular confidence on their home ground, where they have conceded merely twice.

Tactical Approach and Key Players

AC Milan continues to stand out as one of the league’s most tactically organized teams. With an average possession of 56%, Allegri’s men emphasize ball control and rapid transitions into attack, primarily utilizing the flanks where talents like Leão and Chukwueze shine.

Attacking Efficiency and Injury Concerns

A primary challenge for the team remains goal conversion. Despite creating a substantial volume of chances, the team’s scoring output is not as prolific as it could be, with 11 goals from an expected goals (xG) tally of approximately 14. The absence of the injured Pulisic has notably diminished their attacking sharpness in the final third.

Defensive Vulnerabilities

Defensively, Milan generally allows little, but their high-pressing strategy often leaves gaps between lines, which opponents frequently attempt to exploit with counter-attacks.

Fiorentina’s Challenging Season So Far

Stefano Pioli’s team (who returned to the helm this summer) has yet to deliver satisfactory results. After eight matchdays, the Viola have managed only 6 points and a single victory, positioning them perilously close to the relegation zone.

Offensive Struggles and Defensive Lapses

Fiorentina still aims to dictate play, maintaining around 53% possession, but their attacking effectiveness is minimal—just 5 goals scored against an xG of 8.5. The team attacks frequently but loses balance: they have already conceded 13 goals, and defensive errors in the penalty area remain a persistent systemic issue.

Away Form and Injury Impact

The Florentines look particularly vulnerable away from home, suffering three consecutive defeats, in each of which they conceded at least twice. With injuries to Kean and Saponara, the coaching staff is forced to experiment in attack, which negatively impacts team cohesion.