Match Preview: Augsburg vs Mainz

The highly anticipated fourth-round clash in the Bundesliga sees Augsburg host Mainz at the WWK Arena on September 20. This preview offers an in-depth match prediction, key statistics, and betting insights for the Augsburg vs. Mainz encounter.

Augsburg Team Analysis

Sandro Wagner’s side suffered a 1-2 away defeat to St. Pauli in their last outing. This marks Augsburg’s second consecutive loss and their sixth defeat in the last seven Bundesliga fixtures. Despite these results, the team has managed to score in four consecutive league games. With three points, Augsburg currently occupies 11th place in the league table.

• Augsburg has struggled at home recently, failing to secure a victory in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga home fixtures (3 draws, 4 losses).
• Both teams found the net in 5 of Augsburg’s last 6 league matches.
• A high-scoring trend has been observed in Augsburg’s recent Bundesliga outings, with at least three goals scored in their last six games.

Augsburg’s Probable Lineup (3-4-3)*

Finn Dahmen – Cedric Zesiger, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima – Elvis Rexhbecaj, Fabian Rieder, Kristijan Jakic, Arne Engels – Marius Wolf, Elias Saad, Mert Kömür.

Forward Anton Kade is sidelined due to injury. Forward Samuel Essende is suspended.

Mainz Team Analysis

Bo Henriksen’s squad was defeated 0-1 at home by RB Leipzig in their previous match. As a result, Mainz has failed to win in 11 of their last 12 Bundesliga matches (6 draws, 5 losses). Furthermore, the team has not kept a single clean sheet in their last 14 league games. With just one point, Mainz sits in 15th place in the standings. It’s noteworthy that Mainz has scored only one goal in the current Bundesliga season, a tally surpassed by only two other teams.

• Mainz’s away games have often seen both teams score, with this outcome occurring in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga road trips.
• Their defense on the road has been somewhat porous, conceding exactly 1 or 2 goals in 9 of their last 12 away league fixtures.
• Despite defensive vulnerabilities, Mainz has shown an ability to score away from home, netting in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga away matches.

Mainz’s Probable Lineup (3-4-3)*

Robin Zentner – Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr – Anthony Caci, Nadiem Amiri, Keishu Sano, Phillipp Mwene – Aymen Barkok, Nelson Weiper, William Boving.

The Referee

Daniel Schlager (Germany)

Matches officiated – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties awarded – 13%.

Match Prediction: Augsburg – Mainz

Despite their recent struggles to secure home victories, Augsburg consistently displays an attacking intent and finds the back of the net. In their last six Bundesliga home games, the club has only failed to score once, even putting two goals past Bayern in their opening home fixture this season. However, their defense at home has been a concern, having conceded 11 goals in their last five Bundesliga home matches, keeping just one clean sheet.

Mainz similarly opts for an attacking style of play, rarely sitting back in defense. Their scoring prowess remains even on the road; Mainz has only failed to score in two of their last eight away league games, one of which was against formidable Bayern. Conversely, Mainz has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven Bundesliga away encounters.

Given both teams’ attacking inclinations and defensive frailties, I anticipate an open and high-scoring affair. Therefore, my prediction is: “Both Teams to Score – Yes” with odds of 1.72

* For each team, the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is indicated.