Auxerre
21.09.2025 18:15 (GMT+2)
Toulouse
[1] - 2.80
Х - 3.37
[2] - 2.73
1$
2.80
1$
2.73

Auxerre — Toulouse : Match Preview and Prediction for September 21,2025

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Auxerre vs Toulouse: Match Preview & Prediction

Match Overview

This highly anticipated Round 5 fixture will see Auxerre host Toulouse on September 21st at the historic Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps. Delve into our comprehensive match preview for Auxerre vs Toulouse, featuring predictions, betting odds, and key statistics.

Auxerre Team Analysis

For the second consecutive year, the team is struggling significantly at the start of the season. Despite a winning debut in the championship, Auxerre suffered their third consecutive defeat in the last round. This marks the club’s worst run since August-September 2024, when Christophe Pélissier’s side lost four matches in a row. With only 3 points accumulated, Auxerre currently sits in 15th place in the table. This position is primarily due to their low scoring output: after 4 matches, the team has only managed to score 3 goals in total, with only Nantes (1 goal) having a worse record in this department. 

Auxerre Key Statistics

  • Auxerre has won with a (+1.5) handicap in 16 of their last 17 home matches in the championship.
  • The club has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre’s last 7 games.

Auxerre Probable Lineup (5-4-1)*

Théo De Percin – Fredrik Oppegård, Gideon Mensah, Telly Sery, Marvin Senaya, Josué Casimir – Elisha Owusu, Kévin Danois, Danny Loader, Lassine Sinayoko – Sekou Mara. 

Auxerre Team News

The suspension of first-choice goalkeeper Donovan Léon has ended, but midfielder Josué Casimir is now serving a ban.

Toulouse Team Analysis

Toulouse commenced their season with two consecutive victories, extending their unbeaten streak to 6 matches (4 wins, 2 draws). However, this positive run was followed by defeats against PSG and Lille. As a result, Toulouse quickly dropped from 2nd to 10th place in the standings. It’s worth noting that even in their unsuccessful outings, the team managed to score at least one goal, bringing their current scoring streak in the league to 7 matches. 

Toulouse Key Statistics

  • At least 2 goals were scored in 6 of Toulouse’s last 7 games.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of the club’s last 7 championship matches.
  • Carles Martínez’s side has won with a (+1.5) handicap in their last 12 away matches in this tournament.

Toulouse Probable Lineup (3-4-3)*

Guillaume Rest – Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mark McKenzie, Charley Cresswell – Deyann Metaj, Abou Francis, Cristian Cásseres Jr, Aron Dønnum – Santiago Hidalgo, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri. 

Toulouse Team News

Midfielder Alexis Vossah is suspended.

Match Referee Details

Marc Bollengier (France)

Matches – 20 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 6;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 30%.

Main Match Prediction: Auxerre vs Toulouse

Auxerre’s Recent Form

Auxerre has now lost three consecutive league matches, managing only one victory in their last seven outings. While the team found the net in six of those seven games, they consistently scored only a single goal. Such limited offensive output necessitates a strong defense to secure points, yet Auxerre has kept just one clean sheet in their last seven league fixtures. Consequently, five of those seven matches ended in defeat. Christophe Pélissier’s side typically performs better at home than away, but even at their own stadium, they have failed to win in 10 of their last 13 encounters (6 draws, 4 losses). 

Toulouse’s Recent Form and Head-to-Head

Toulouse travels to Auxerre after suffering two consecutive league defeats. However, so far this season, their only losses have come against PSG and Lille, who currently occupy the top two spots in the table. For a club accustomed to a mid-table status, Toulouse demonstrates remarkable resilience. Carles Martínez’s men have secured at least one point in six of their last eight matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Furthermore, the team remains unbeaten in their last four head-to-head encounters with Auxerre (2 wins, 2 draws). 

Our Final Prediction

In my opinion, the visitors should avoid an unfavorable outcome this time as well. Our prediction is – “Toulouse Win or Draw” with odds of 1.45 Winline Logo  

Disclaimer

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.

Match Predictions: Auxerre — Toulouse, September 21, 2025

Sergey Zimarin profile picture
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Sergey Zimarin
133 / 9 / 113 / ROI -3.6%

Expert Forecast Summary

Auxerre and Toulouse are both accumulating losing streaks, but Auxerre’s is longer, placing them closer to the relegation zone. Naturally, both clubs are in dire need of a victory.

Auxerre secured their sole victory against newcomer Lorient (1-0). Lorient’s lack of competitiveness was starkly demonstrated by Lille, who crushed the newcomer (7-1) right in front of their fans. In other matches, the Burgundians showed resistance, but in two of them, their discipline failed, leaving them with ten men. For a significant part of the previous season, Auxerre was very competitive at home (+6=5–1), but something went wrong since spring (+1=1–3).

Toulouse, on the other hand, had a respectable start, despite two defeats. One was against PSG, who are consistently racking up wins (3-6), and the other against another European participant, Lille (1-2). The second case was an away game, but that doesn’t mean the Occitans are incapable of winning on foreign territory: in the first round, they defeated Nice (1-0).

In the 2024/25 season, Toulouse had the upper hand. They won the home fixture (2-0) and drew in Auxerre (2-2). I believe the Southerners’ current form will allow them to secure points once again.

 

Expert’s Betting Pick

Prediction
Toulouse Win or Draw
Odds
Coefficient
1.47
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Auxerre vs Toulouse

Auxerre Auxerre
Toulouse Toulouse

Other predictions

Sports betting from our team of predictors
Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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