Bournemouth
21.09.2025 16:00 (GMT+2)
Newcastle
[1] - 2.37
Х - 3.56
[2] - 2.96
1$
2.37
1$
2.96

Bournemouth — Newcastle : Match Preview and Prediction for September 21,2025

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Bournemouth vs Newcastle: Match Prediction

Match Overview

This Round 5 fixture will see Bournemouth clash with Newcastle on September 21st at the Vitality Stadium. Here’s a comprehensive preview of the Bournemouth vs Newcastle encounter, including our prediction, betting tips, odds, and key statistics.

Bournemouth’s Form

Bournemouth has emerged as the standout surprise of the current campaign. Many anticipated a difficult start for Andoni Iraola’s squad, especially after offloading three vital defenders during the summer transfer window. However, after just four rounds, the club impressively sits in 4th place with 9 points. Their sole defeat came in the opening fixture against Liverpool, a narrow loss in the dying minutes. Since then, the Cherries have secured three consecutive victories, each by a slender one-goal margin.

Key Bournemouth Stats

  • Bournemouth has been involved in 8 consecutive matches without a draw, recording 5 wins and 3 losses.
  • Under 3.5 goals were scored in 9 of Bournemouth’s last 11 fixtures.
  • The team boasts three successive victories in their home league matches.

Predicted Bournemouth Lineup (4-4-2)*

Djordje Petrovic – James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Veljko Milosavljevic – Alex Scott, David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier, Tyler Adams – Antoine Semenyo, Evanilson.

Newcastle’s Performance

Under Eddie Howe’s guidance, Newcastle finally clinched their maiden league win in the 4th round. This proved to be a hard-fought and narrow 1-0 victory at home against Wolverhampton. Earlier in the season, the Magpies suffered a 2-3 home defeat to Liverpool and played out two goalless draws away at Aston Villa and Leeds. Currently, the team holds 5 points, placing them 10th in the standings. Notably, this recent victory snapped Newcastle’s five-game winless run in the , which included two draws and three losses.

Key Newcastle Stats

  • In 6 of the club’s last 7 league outings, at least one side failed to find the net.
  • Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in 7 of Newcastle’s previous 8 encounters.
  • Newcastle is currently on a 5-match winless streak in away fixtures, comprising 3 draws and 2 defeats.

Predicted Newcastle Lineup (4-5-1)*

Nick Pope – Fabian Schär, Valentino Livramento, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn – Jacob Murphy, Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, Sandro Tonali, Harvey Barnes – Nick Voltemade.

Team News

Midfielder Jacob Ramsey and forward Yoane Wissa are sidelined due to injuries for this fixture. Additionally, striker Anthony Gordon is unavailable, serving a suspension.

Match Referee

Robert Jones (England)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated: 24 (, 2024/25–2025/26 season);

Yellow cards issued (including second yellows): 100;

Average yellow cards per match: 4.2;

Red cards issued: 4;

Average fouls per match: 25;

Penalties awarded: 25%.

Match Prediction: Bournemouth vs Newcastle

Pre-match Analysis

Newcastle’s victory in the previous round should provide a much-needed confidence boost for Eddie Howe’s squad. Their recent struggles in the league have been protracted, making it imperative for them to ascend the table, a position currently occupied by Bournemouth. The home side, meanwhile, has been consistently finding the net in every fixture, indicating no intention of slowing down.

 

Recent Form and Head-to-Head

It’s also noteworthy that Andoni Iraola’s men have scored in 7 of their last 8 home matches. Furthermore, historical clashes between these two teams have typically been entertaining and high-scoring affairs. Both sides have found the back of the net in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings. I anticipate both teams will once again contribute to an eventful match with plenty of goals.

 

Final Pick

My final prediction for this match is – “Both Teams to Score – Yes” with odds 1.69 Leon Betting Company logo

 

Note on Lineups

* The indicated starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this competition.

Expert Predictions for Bournemouth vs Newcastle – September 21, 2025

Sergey Zimarin profile picture
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Sergey Zimarin
132 / 8 / 112 / ROI -3.7%

Newcastle faces a challenge almost directly after their 1-2 loss to Barcelona in the Champions League. In contrast, Bournemouth has had a full week to specifically prepare for this weekend’s encounter.

Furthermore, Bournemouth appears to be steadily building momentum. In their last two rounds, they clinched impressive victories against direct European qualification rivals Tottenham (1-0) and Brighton (2-1). These weren’t fortunate results; Andoni Iraola’s side outperformed both opponents in terms of shots (20-5 and 13-6) and expected goals (xG) (1.59-0.19 and 1.45-0.62). While the Cherries remain somewhat vulnerable defensively, having conceded five goals to Newcastle’s three, their offensive output is noteworthy.

However, Newcastle’s recent performance on Thursday saw them largely outmaneuvered, arguably by Marcus Rashford alone, who is now reportedly in Catalonia this year. Neither the seasoned Fabian Schär nor the equally veteran 33-year-old Dan Burn managed to neutralize the Englishman, with Burn even inadvertently passing the ball directly to him. While the attacking play that led to Anthony Gordon’s goal was undoubtedly impressive, the forward’s absence due to suspension will be a significant blow to the team.

Furthermore, Fabian Schär’s participation is questionable due to facial issues. Facing a potentially weakened and fatigued Newcastle squad, Bournemouth is certainly capable of securing a victory. At the very least, placing a bet on a neutral handicap for the home team seems a prudent choice.

Prediction
Bournemouth Asian Handicap (0)
Odds
Coefficient
1.72
Place a Bet
 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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