Fiorentina
21.09.2025 19:00 (GMT+2)
Como
[1] - 2.70
Х - 3.35
[2] - 2.75
1$
2.70
1$
2.75

Fiorentina — Como : Match Preview and Prediction for September 21,2025

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Fiorentina vs Como: Match Preview

Match Introduction

The upcoming matchday 4 fixture will see Fiorentina host Como on September 21st at the iconic Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence. This preview will delve into the prediction, potential betting opportunities, odds, and relevant statistics for the Fiorentina versus Como encounter.

Fiorentina’s Form

Stefano Pioli’s squad suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Napoli in their last league outing. This marked Fiorentina’s first loss in their last five matches (previously 2 wins, 2 draws). Furthermore, it was the first time in 23 championship games that the team conceded more than two goals. With two points, the club currently occupies the 16th position in the league standings.

Fiorentina Key Statistics

  • The team has avoided defeat in 6 of their last 7 home matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
  • The club has kept a clean sheet in the first half in 6 of their last 7 home league fixtures.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of Fiorentina’s last 6 encounters.

Fiorentina’s Probable Starting Line-up (3-5-2)*

David De Gea – Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodô, Nicolo Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Simon Zom, Simon Zom, Robin Gosens – Edin Džeko, Moise Kean.

Team News: Fiorentina Injuries

Forward Christian Kouamé will miss the match due to injury.

Como’s Current Form

In their previous fixture, Cesc Fàbregas’s men came tantalizingly close to securing three points at home against Genoa, only to concede a late equalizer in injury time, resulting in a 1-1 draw. Nevertheless, Como has remained unbeaten in ten of their last twelve matches (7 wins, 3 draws). Notably, over this impressive run, the club has conceded more than one goal on just a single occasion. With four points accumulated, the team currently sits in ninth place in the league table.

Como Key Statistics

  • The club has failed to win in 12 of their last 16 away matches (4 draws, 8 losses).
  • The team has scored in 7 of their last 8 away league fixtures.
  • Exactly 2 or 3 goals were scored in 8 of Como’s last 11 away matches.

Como’s Probable Starting Line-up (4-5-1)*

Jean Botte – Mergim Vojvoda, Marc Oliver Kempf, Jacopo Ramon, Alex Valle – Jesus Rodriguez, Lucas da Cunha, Maxence Caqueret, Nico Paz, Nicolas Kuhn – Alvaro Morata.

Team News: Como Absentees

Defender Ignace Van der Brempt and forward Assane Diao are unavailable due to injuries. Defender Jacopo Ramon is suspended.

Match Official

Referee: Kevin Bonacina (Italy)

  • Matches officiated – 5 (, 2024/25–2025/26 seasons);
  • Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 15;
  • Average yellow cards per match – 3;
  • Red cards shown – 1;
  • Average fouls per match – 25;
  • Penalties awarded – 40%.

Fiorentina vs Como Match Prediction

Despite a somewhat underwhelming start to the current championship campaign, Fiorentina, in my opinion, is poised to show significant improvement in this fixture. Their home advantage is considerable, as the team has frequently achieved positive outcomes on their own turf: in their last seven home matches, the Florentines have suffered only one defeat, securing five victories during that period. Notably, two of these wins came against formidable opponents like Juventus and Atalanta, both of whom finished in the top four last season.

Como began their campaign with an impressive away victory over Lazio this season. However, their subsequent results have seen a decline, marked by a defeat to Bologna and a draw against Genoa. On the road, Cesc Fàbregas’s side frequently encounters challenges: in their last 16 away league contests, the club has managed only four wins, while suffering defeats in half of those matches. I do not anticipate the visitors securing all three points here, therefore my prediction is: Fiorentina Asian Handicap (0) at odds of 1.90

Line-up Note

* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this tournament is indicated.

Expert Forecasts for Fiorentina vs Como on September 21, 2025

р
Artem Egorov
105 / 2 / 88 / ROI -1.6%

Artem Egorov’s Analysis

Fiorentina is currently languishing at the very bottom of the league table, a situation that undoubtedly displeases both the club and its loyal fanbase. The challenge ahead is significant, as they face Como, a match where securing points will prove extremely difficult.

In the third round, the ‘Viola’ were unable to offer any real resistance to reigning champions Napoli, losing 1-3. What’s more concerning than the final score is their expected goals against (xGA) figure of 3.29. In total, Fiorentina’s opponents generated 5.8 xG, which is by far the worst metric in the league.

Como is still refining its playing style and gradually integrating new signings into the squad. Their attacking prowess is quite impressive, with Morata and Nico Paz constantly troubling opposing defenses. However, their defensive performance leaves much to be desired. Adding to their woes, Jacopo Ramon, a key central defender, was sent off in the previous round.

Considering the hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities, Como is almost guaranteed to find the back of the net. Nevertheless, Fiorentina will undoubtedly strive to perform at their best in front of their home supporters. I anticipate a high-scoring game and suggest betting on an over total.

Prediction
Total Over 2.5 Goals
Odds
Coefficient
2.10
 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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