Lanus — Atletico Platense : Match Preview and Prediction for September 20,2025

Lanús’ Recent Momentum

The “Granates” approach this match on a moral high. Their hard-fought victory in the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals against Fluminense was a significant achievement. Yes, the score was 1-0, but the decisive goal was netted in the 89th minute, vividly demonstrating their character and relentless desire to attack until the final whistle. Lanús has generally accustomed observers to their ability to snatch crucial goals in the dying minutes, which consistently enhances their prospects of exceeding the total goals line.

Squad Rotation Concerns

A league fixture is strategically inserted between two pivotal matches against the Brazilians. Coach Mauricio Pellegrino has already indicated his intention to implement squad rotation, considering that his players endured an extremely demanding game just a few days prior. Any alterations to the starting lineup, particularly within the defensive unit, frequently lead to a disruption in team cohesion, consequently creating vulnerabilities for the opposing side and escalating the probability of conceding goals.

Walter Bou’s Return to Form

In their most recent league outing, Lanús also secured a 1-0 win over Independiente Rivadavia. However, one should not be deceived by the narrow scoreline. What is particularly noteworthy is that in that game, striker Walter Bou finally broke his protracted goalless spell. For any forward, finding the back of the net provides a vital boost, so I anticipate a highly active performance from him in the attacking third. The Expected Goals (xG) statistic for that particular match was 1.29, suggesting that more clear-cut scoring chances were generated than the solitary goal scored.

Platense’s High-Scoring Style

Platense is a team that not only enjoys but also excels at playing high-scoring football. Reviewing their recent outcomes, I clearly observe the patterns we’re looking for: a 2-1 victory against Defensa y Justicia, a 1-3 defeat by Godoy Cruz, and a 2-1 triumph over San Lorenzo. In each of these encounters, the 1.5 goal threshold was comfortably exceeded, often with a considerable margin to spare.

Ronaldo Martinez: The Key Striker

Platense also boasts a formidable attacking asset. Paraguayan forward Ronaldo Martinez currently tops the Clausura scoring charts with an impressive five goals. In their most recent fixture, he even crafted a moment of pure brilliance, securing the winning goal with a spectacular overhead kick. Having the league’s leading marksman in the squad is a robust indicator of a potent goal threat in any given match.

Statistical Trends for Platense

And here is a compelling argument, grounded in empirical data. In 6 out of their last 8 matches featuring Platense, a minimum of two goals were registered. If we narrow our focus exclusively to their away games, the trend becomes even more pronounced: in 4 out of their past 5 road fixtures, both teams collectively breached the Over 1.5 goals mark. This is not a mere coincidence; rather, it signifies a clear and consistent pattern.