Match Preview: Lazio vs Roma

The highly anticipated Round 4 encounter between Lazio and Roma is scheduled for September 21st, taking place at the iconic Stadio Olimpico in Rome. This article provides a comprehensive prediction, betting insights, coefficients, and key statistics for the “Derby della Capitale”.

Lazio’s Current Form and Statistics

Maurizio Sarri’s squad faced a setback in their last away fixture against Sassuolo, suffering a 0:1 defeat. This marked Lazio’s second loss in the current championship campaign, with the team failing to score in both instances. Furthermore, the club has struggled to keep a clean sheet in five of their last six matches. With only three points accumulated, Lazio currently occupies a modest 12th position in the league standings.

• The team has failed to win in 5 of their last 6 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
• Fewer than 3 goals were scored in 9 of the club’s last 12 league fixtures.
• At least one team has failed to score in 5 of Lazio’s last 7 games.

Lazio’s Provisional Lineup (4-3-3)*

Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares – Matteo Guendouzi, Nicolò Rovella, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru – Matteo Cancellieri, Valentín Castellanos, Mattia Zaccagni.

Lazio Team News

Midfielder Manuel Lazzari is sidelined due to injury. The participation of midfielder Nicolò Rovella is also questionable due to an injury concern.

Roma’s Recent Performance and Statistics

Gian Piero Gasperini’s side unexpectedly lost 0:1 at home to Torino in their previous match. This defeat brought an end to Roma’s four-match winning streak in the league and marked the first goal they conceded in the current season. With six points, the team has dropped to sixth place in the standings. It’s worth noting that Roma has conceded only one goal this season, placing them among the top two clubs for defensive performance, alongside Napoli.

• The team has remained unbeaten in 23 of their last 25 league matches (18 wins, 5 draws).
• Roma players have scored more than one goal in only 2 of their last 14 outings.
• At least one team has failed to score in 7 of Roma’s last 9 league matches.

Roma’s Provisional Lineup (3-4-3)*

Mile Svilar – Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini, Mario Hermoso – Wesley França, Kouadio Koné, Bryan Cristante, Angeliño – Neil El Aynaoui, Paulo Dybala, Matías Soulé.

Roma Team News

Defender Mario Hermoso, midfielder Leon Bailey, and forward Paulo Dybala will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Wesley França’s participation is also doubtful due to illness.

Referee Analysis

Simone Sozza (Italy)

Matches officiated (, 2024/25–2025/26): 18;

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows): 65;

Average yellow cards per match: 3.6;

Red cards shown: 1;

Average fouls per match: 24;

Penalties awarded: 44%.

Match Prediction: Lazio vs Roma

Maurizio Sarri’s Lazio side has shown inconsistent form in the early rounds of the current championship, with particular concerns around their attacking output. This season, Lazio has failed to score against Como and Sassuolo and has generally underperformed in creative play in recent fixtures. In their last 14 league matches, the team has only managed to score more than one goal on four occasions, and they failed to find the net entirely in four of those encounters.

Roma, similarly, has not been particularly prolific in front of goal and rarely delights fans with highly effective attacking displays. In 12 of their last 14 clashes, the team failed to break the opponent’s defense more than once. However, at the back, the club maintains a solid defense, effectively neutralizing threats from their adversaries. In their last 21 league matches, Roma has conceded more than one goal only once, and they kept a clean sheet in 12 of those games.

Conclusion and Betting Tip

Considering these factors, I don’t anticipate a high-scoring affair in this derby. My prediction is: “Total Goals Under 2.5” with odds of 1.68

Author: Dmitry Shchurko

* The starting lineup listed for each team refers to their previous match in this tournament.