Predictions for Italian Serie A football 2025-26
The 2025-26 Italian Serie A season emerges with a fresh dynamic. Following years of fluctuating leadership and unpredictability, the Italian league steps into a new phase where established powerhouses must reaffirm their dominance against rising challengers and revitalized teams.
A review of betting odds reveals an intriguing scenario: no single club holds a clear edge in the race for the title. The odds for the top contenders fall within a tight range, signaling genuine competition for the scudetto among at least four teams.
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The battle for the Italian championship echoes the intensity of the early 2000s, a golden era for Italian football. Bookmakers anticipate a fierce contest among four major clubs, each bringing distinct strengths to the chase for the title.
Italian Serie A
Napoli tops the list of favorites with odds ranging from 2.87 to 3.02, reflecting their efforts to stabilize the club after a championship win followed by a turbulent period. The Partenopei retained their core squad and bolstered key areas, positioning them as strong candidates for the upcoming season.
Inter trails closely behind with odds of 3.00 to 3.70, reinforcing their reputation as a consistent force in recent years. The Nerazzurri boast a well-rounded roster and a track record of success in critical matches, making them formidable contenders for reclaiming the scudetto.
Juventus, with odds of 5.25 to 5.50, is steadily rebuilding its stature after a phase of restructuring. The Bianconeri invested heavily in squad improvements, aiming to recapture the winning mindset that defined their era of dominance in Turin.
Milan, with odds of 6.30 to 7.00, rounds out the primary contenders, though their odds suggest some doubt among bookmakers about the Rossoneri’s ability to keep pace with the leading trio. Milan is navigating a period of transition, searching for a cohesive playing style.
Notably, the gap widens significantly after the top four. Roma, with odds of 11.5 to 15.0, is viewed as a distant contender for the title despite their ambitions and talented roster. This underscores the current reality of Serie A, where the championship race is largely dominated by a select group of clubs.
| Team | Mostbet | 1xBet, 22Bet, MelBet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 3 | 3.02 | 2.87 |
| Inter Milan | 3.7 | 3.42 | 3.00 |
| Juventus | 5.3 | 5.25 | 5.50 |
| AC Milan | 7 | 6.3 | 7.00 |
| AS Roma | 15 | 11.5 | 13.00 |
| Atalanta | 25 | 17.5 | 23.00 |
| Lazio | 50 | 32 | 34.00 |
| Fiorentina | 75 | 70 | 67.00 |
| Bologna | 50 | 85 | 81.00 |
| Como | 100 | 100 | 81.00 |
| Genoa | 500 | 100 | 301.00 |
| Torino | 500 | 100 | 301.00 |
| Sassuolo | 500 | 100 | 301.00 |
| Cagliari | 1000 | 100 | 501.00 |
| Lecce | 1000 | 100 | 501.00 |
| Parma | 1000 | 100 | 501.00 |
| Udinese | 1000 | 100 | 501.00 |
| Cremonese | 1000 | 100 | 1001.00 |
| Verona | 1000 | - | - |
| Pisa | 1000 | 100 | 1001.00 |
Serie A 2025-26 Title Contenders
The race for the top four spots in the Italian league offers greater certainty compared to the title contest. Bookmakers express strong confidence in four major clubs securing Champions League qualification.
Napoli, with odds of 1.22, is virtually assured a top-four finish, reflecting their qualitative edge over most competitors. Inter (1.33) and Juventus (1.57) are also seen as near-certainties for Champions League spots, their low odds highlighting the depth and reliability of their squads to endure the season’s demands.
Milan’s odds of 1.59 to 1.65 indicate slight reservations about their consistency, though confidence in their top-four potential remains high.
The competition for Europa League and Conference League spots introduces more intrigue. Roma, with odds of 2.50 to 2.55, leads the race for fifth place, supported by a skilled squad and European experience. Atalanta (3.30 to 3.75) remains a formidable force, known for their distinctive style and ability to challenge any opponent.
Among newcomers and mid-tier teams, Como (5.00 to 6.50) stands out with surprisingly favorable odds for a club recently promoted from Serie B, reflecting their ambitious transfer strategy. Lazio (5.50) and Bologna (5.50 to 6.00) are also in contention for European spots.
| Team | Mostbet | 1xBet, 22Bet, MelBet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Inter Milan | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Juventus | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| AC Milan | 1.65 | 1.59 | 1.60 |
| AS Roma | 2.55 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
| Atalanta | 3.3 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Como | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.00 |
| Lazio | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.50 |
| Bologna | 5.5 | 6 | 6.00 |
| Fiorentina | 6 | 6 | 6.00 |
| Torino | 22 | 20 | 21.00 |
| Udinese | - | 25 | 29.00 |
| Genoa | - | 30 | 34.00 |
| Sassuolo | - | 45 | 51.00 |
| Parma | - | 50 | 51.00 |
| Cagliari | - | 65 | 67.00 |
| Lecce | - | 100 | 81.00 |
| Hellas Verona | - | 100 | 101.00 |
| Cremonese | - | 100 | 151.00 |
| Pisa | - | 100 | 151.00 |
Top-4 Projections for Serie A 2025-26
The battle to avoid relegation in Serie A promises to be intense, particularly with the return of ambitious clubs from Serie B and the precarious position of some mid-table teams.
Cremonese (1.83) is the leading candidate for a swift return to the second tier. The Lombard club struggled in their previous Serie A stint and has not significantly strengthened their squad for this campaign.
Pisa (2.00) is another likely candidate for relegation. Returning to the top flight after a long absence, the Tuscan club faces challenges due to limited resources and lack of experience in modern Serie A.
Verona (2.37) continues its perennial struggle to stay afloat, having teetered on the brink of relegation for several seasons. Persistent issues could finally tip the scales against them.
Lecce (2.62) represents southern Italy in the danger zone, often finding it difficult to compete with wealthier northern clubs. Sassuolo (3.00), once a stable mid-table side, now faces an unfamiliar threat of relegation after recent struggles.
| Team | 1xBet, 22Bet, MelBet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 1.833 | 1.83 |
| Pisa | 2 | 2.00 |
| Hellas Verona | 2.375 | 2.37 |
| Lecce | 2.625 | 2.62 |
| Sassuolo | 3 | 3.00 |
| Cagliari | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Parma | 4 | 4.00 |
| Genoa | 4.5 | 4.50 |
| Udinese | 6 | 6.00 |
| Torino | 7.5 | 7.50 |
| Lazio | 26 | 26.00 |
| Como | 34 | 34.00 |
| Fiorentina | 34 | 34.00 |
| Bologna | 41 | 41.00 |
| Atalanta | 100 | 101.00 |
| Juventus | 100 | 501.00 |
| Milan | 100 | 351.00 |
| Napoli | 100 | 501.00 |
| Roma | 100 | 251.00 |
| Inter Milan | 100 | 251.00 |
Serie A 2025-26 Relegation Risks
The competition for Serie A’s top scorer title is set to be one of Europe’s most compelling. Unlike other major leagues where a few players dominate, Serie A showcases a diverse group of strikers vying for the crown.
Lautaro Martinez (5.5) leads the race, driven by his consistent goal-scoring for Inter and Argentina. His technical skill, positional awareness, and clutch scoring ability make him a standout.
Moise Kean (6.5) poses a strong challenge, enjoying a career-best phase that could see him emerge as a surprise contender. Jonathan David (8.0) adds further intrigue, with his attributes well-suited to Serie A, though his higher odds may suggest bookmakers are underestimating his potential.
Marcus Thuram (13.0) offers value among French forwards, his physicality and technique aligning well with the Italian game. A group of strikers with odds of 15.0 to 17.0—including Romelu Lukaku, Dusan Vlahovic, Ademola Lookman, and Santiago Gimenez—creates a broad field of contenders, each capable of exceptional performances under the right conditions.
Kevin De Bruyne’s inclusion at 29.0 is noteworthy, reflecting expectations of goal-scoring contributions from the Belgian playmaker in his new role.
| Player | 1xBet, 22Bet, MelBet |
|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | 5.5 |
| Moise Kean | 6.5 |
| Jonathan David | 8 |
| Marcus Thuram | 13 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 15 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 15 |
| Ademola Lookman | 17 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 17 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 19 |
| Artem Dovbyk | 19 |
| Ciro Immobile | 21 |
| Evan Ferguson | 21 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | 21 |
| Riccardo Orsolini | 26 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 26 |
| Kenan Yildiz | 26 |
| Edin Dzeko | 29 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 29 |
| Rafael Leao | 29 |
| Christian Pulisic | 34 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | 41 |
| Paulo Dybala | 41 |
| Roberto Piccoli | 41 |
Serie A 2025-26 Top Scorer Race
The 2025 transfer window saw Italian clubs undertake significant squad overhauls, aiming to enhance Serie A’s competitiveness on the European stage. While more restrained than the lavish spending of English clubs, Italian teams made substantial investments to reinforce critical areas.
Napoli: Defending the Title
Napoli’s active transfer window saw €89.10 million spent on squad improvements, focusing on defensive stability and attacking depth. Sam Beukema from Bologna, a 26-year-old French defender, was a key signing to solidify the backline. Loa Lang from PSV adds pace and flair on the left flank, while Vanja Milinkovic-Savic addresses the goalkeeper position with his top-tier experience.
The standout move was Kevin De Bruyne’s arrival from Manchester City. The Belgian’s creativity and experience could prove decisive in the scudetto race.
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic Napoli
Inter: Targeted Additions
Inter invested €66.30 million in precise reinforcements to maintain squad depth. Luis Enrique from Marseille bolsters the midfield with his vision and technique, while Angie-Yoan Bonny enhances the attack with his French pedigree.
Juventus: Squad Overhaul
Juventus spent €118.50 million to reshape their roster, signaling a determined push to reclaim the title. Jonathan David, a 25-year-old Canadian striker from Lille, headlines their acquisitions, bringing speed and goal-scoring prowess. Francisco Conceicao from Porto and Nico Gonzalez add flair to the wings, while Lloyd Kelly from Newcastle and Pierre Kalulu revamp the defense with a blend of pragmatism and elegance.
Milan: Focus on Experience
Milan allocated €40 million to sign seasoned players for immediate impact. Samuele Ricci from Torino strengthens the midfield, and Pervis Estupinan addresses issues on the left flank.
Samuele Ricci Milan
Roma: Strategic Spending
Roma’s €51.50 million transfer budget reflects financial caution but targeted moves. Wesley from Flamengo bolsters the defense, Neil El Aynaoui adds midfield versatility, and Evan Ferguson from Brighton aims to solve attacking woes.
Atalanta: Youth Investment
Atalanta spent €79.80 million, continuing their strategy of scouting global young talent. Odilon Kossounou from Bayer was their priciest signing, while Kamaliddin Sulaimanov represents a promising addition from African football.
Other Clubs: Focused Reinforcements
Fiorentina (€43.50 million) and Lazio (€29.03 million) pursued measured transfer strategies. Nicolo Fagioli was a key pickup for Fiorentina, while Lazio invested in emerging talents. Como 1907, in their second elite season, spent €101.50 million, with Jesus Rodriguez from Betis (€30 million) signaling their bold ambitions.
Impact on Betting Markets
The transfer activity reshaped Serie A’s competitive landscape:
