Lens
20.09.2025 22:05 (GMT+2)
Lille
[1] - 2.49
Х - 3.60
[2] - 2.97
1$
2.49
1$
2.97

Lens — Lille : Match Preview and Prediction for September 20,2025

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Lens vs Lille: Derby Prediction

Match Overview

The 5th round match between Lens and Lille is scheduled for September 20 at the Bollaert-Delelis stadium. Here’s a comprehensive match preview, prediction, odds, and statistics for the Lens vs Lille clash.

Lens Team Analysis

Before the international break, the team secured two consecutive victories in the championship, but they couldn’t build on that success in their last match, suffering a 0:2 defeat against PSG. This extended Lens’ uncompromising streak in to 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses), and overall, they have only recorded 1 draw in their previous 23 French Championship matches. Following their unsuccessful trip to Paris, Pierre Sage’s squad dropped to the middle of the table, currently occupying 9th place. 
  • Lens found the net in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • At least 2 goals were scored in 9 of the team’s last 10 championship matches.
  • The club conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament.

Lens Probable Lineup (3-4-3)*

Robin Risser – Jonathan Gradit, Samson Baidoo, Malang Sarr – Ruben Aguilar, Adrien Thomasson, Mamadou Sangare, Matthieu Udol – Florian Thauvin, Morgan Guilavogui, Odsonne Édouard. Key defender Deiver Machado is recovering from injury.

Lille Team Analysis

Lille remains undefeated in the current season – a feat only matched by PSG. Last Sunday, Lille overcame Toulouse, securing their third consecutive victory. The club’s unbeaten streak in the championship now stands at 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw). It’s worth highlighting that Bruno Genesio’s squad boasts the highest scoring record in , having netted a total of 13 goals in 4 rounds. This potent attacking performance is a major factor in Lille’s current 2nd place in the table. 
  • At least 2 goals were scored in 10 of Lille’s last 11 championship matches.
  • The club conceded in 7 of their last 8 away matches.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Lille’s last 7 games in this tournament.

Lille Probable Lineup (4-2-3-1)*

Berke Özer – Romain Perraud, Nathan Ngoumou, Alessandro, Aïssa Mandi – Benjamin André, Ayyoub Bouaddi – Félix Correia, Ngal’ayel Mukau, Matías Fernández-Pardo – Olivier Giroud. Key defenders Alessandro and Thomas Meunier will be unavailable due to injury.

Referee Review

Eric Wattellier (France)

Matches – 19 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties awarded – 21%.

Key Match Prediction: Lens vs Lille

Lens currently holds an equal number of wins and losses in , but so far, their victories have only come against teams from the bottom half of the table – Le Havre and Brest. In contrast, they suffered defeats against Lyon and PSG. Lens hosted Lyon at home, but the home support wasn’t enough to prevent a loss. This isn’t an isolated incident, as the club has lost 7 of its last 12 home league matches. Furthermore, their head-to-head encounters with Lille have proven difficult. Statistics confirm this, with Lens failing to secure a win in 9 of their last 10 home matches against Lille in (5 draws, 4 losses). Considering all matches, not just those at Lens’ home ground, Lille is on an impressive 6-game unbeaten run in the championship, securing 4 victories during this period. The club has scored in all these matches, and when they conceded, it was never more than one goal. It’s also worth noting that Lille is still undefeated in the current season, extending their unbeaten league run to 5 games. There is a high probability that the visitors will once again secure at least one point. Our prediction is “Lille to Win or Draw” with odds of 1.51. * The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.

Additional Expert Forecasts and Statistical Trends

Sergey Zimarin profile picture
р
Sergey Zimarin
132 / 8 / 112 / ROI -3.7%

Lens and Lille fans despise each other – the Northern Derby is upon us. This coming weekend, French football won’t just be living for “Le Classique”.

In the table, Lens is currently below their opponent, in eighth place, while Lille sits in second. However, Pierre Sage’s team faced a challenging start to their schedule. In the first four rounds, they were tested by both Lyon and PSG. They failed both tests, losing 0:1 and 0:2 respectively. They only managed to beat mid-table Brest (3:1) and Le Havre (2:1) – opponents of a much lower caliber. So, a big question remains: Will Lens score against Lille?

It is certainly possible to score against Lille. Surprisingly, only Monaco failed to do so (1:0). The Monegasques were their only serious opponent, and Brest (3:3) was the first club to take points from “Les Dogues”. The second away game for Giroud and company turned into an absolute nightmare for Lorient’s hosts (7:1). Lille is difficult to score against (5 goals conceded with 5.47 xGA), so Lens needs to work not only on quality but also on quantity.

In the 2024/25 season, Lens failed to score in any of their head-to-head matches against Lille: 0:2 at home and 0:1 away. Considering their worst finishing efficiency at the start of this championship (-4.33 xGDiff) against Lille’s +2.36 goals, I am betting on a neutral handicap for the visitors.

Prediction
Lille with handicap (0)
Odds
Coefficient
2.02
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Lens vs Lille

Lens Lens
Lille Lille

Other predictions

Sports betting from our team of predictors
Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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