Arminia Bielefeld — Greuther Furth : Match Preview and Prediction for September 19,2025

Arminia Bielefeld: Flying High

Arminia is flying high. As a newcomer to the league, the team is absolutely dominating, and it’s hard to argue with that. With ten points after five rounds, they sit in third place, with a genuine chance to top the table.

Offensive Prowess

Their 11 goals scored are the best in the league. With an Expected Goals (xG) of 8.6, they rank among the top four in the division, indicating their ability to both create and convert chances effectively. They’ve fashioned 16 clear scoring opportunities, a tally surpassed only by Paderborn.

Unrelenting Physicality

How do they achieve this? It’s all about their physicality! Arminia is arguably the most athletic team in the league. They’ve covered more ground than any other team (626.3 km), executed the most sprints (871), and made the most intense runs (3971). They operate like a relentless machine, constantly increasing their tempo, especially in the second half, where 8 of their 11 goals have been scored. Opponents simply crumble under such relentless pressure, as Arminia presses them to their breaking point.

Set-Piece Threat and Home Advantage

Their primary weapon, however, is set-pieces. They’ve scored six goals from set-piece situations, a remarkable feat as no other team in the league has managed more than three. This is their ace in the hole, played when the game isn’t going their way. Add to this the electrifying support at SchücoArena. The stadium is expected to be packed to capacity, with tickets sold out for several matches in advance. The away section has been allocated to home fans due to low demand from Furth supporters. Approximately 25,000 fans are anticipated to drive the team forward.

Greuther Furth: Defensive Struggles

Now, let’s turn our attention to their opponents. Greuther Furth is a team plagued by enormous, frankly glaring, defensive issues. They have conceded 14 goals in just five matches, the worst record across the entire . This isn’t merely bad luck; it’s a systemic problem, as evidenced by their league-worst Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 11.9. Their defense is simply failing to perform its duties.

Defensive Chaos and Injuries

Their last outing saw a 0-3 home defeat against Kaiserslautern. Prior to that, an incident perfectly encapsulated their defensive chaos: defender Noah Konig received a red card just 27 seconds into the match. With Konig suspended and another key central defender, Maximilian Dietz, injured, coach Thomas Kleine will be forced to reshuffle his defensive line once again, further exacerbating their lack of cohesion.

Unsustainable Scoring Rate

While they have scored 10 goals, which might seem respectable, a deeper look reveals a different picture. Their Expected Goals (xG) stands at a mere 5.8, placing them 15th in the league. This team is converting far more chances than they’re creating, a statistical anomaly that is unsustainable in the long run. They’ve generated only five clear goal-scoring opportunities throughout the entire season, the worst tally in the league. Their current scoring rate is a fragile bubble, poised to burst.

Physical Disadvantage

Physically, they are also at a disadvantage. Their aerial duel success rate (39%) is among the worst in the league. They rarely engage in challenges, having committed the fewest fouls (51). Against the physically imposing Arminia side, this match will likely resemble a heavyweight pitted against a lightweight.