Monaco
21.09.2025 18:15 (GMT+2)
Metz
[1] - 1.33
Х - 6.40
[2] - 9.40
1$
1.33
1$
9.40

Monaco — Metz : Match Preview and Prediction for September 21,2025

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Monaco vs Metz: Match Preview and Prediction

Match Overview

The 5th round match of between AS Monaco and FC Metz is scheduled for September 21st at the Stade Louis II in Fontvieille. This comprehensive preview offers a detailed prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Monaco vs Metz encounter.

AS Monaco Team Analysis

Monaco’s Strong Start to the Season

AS Monaco is consistently contending for top spots in . After the initial four rounds, the club has amassed 9 out of a possible 12 points, placing them 3rd in the league standings. Only Lille and PSG currently sit above them, both remaining undefeated. The Monegasques’ sole stumble came in an away fixture against Lille, but they quickly rebounded with two consecutive victories against Strasbourg and Auxerre. Their resolute run in the championship now spans 7 matches, with 5 wins and 2 losses. 

Key Monaco Statistics

  • Monaco has remained unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 matches, securing 6 wins and 2 draws.
  • The team has managed to score in 20 of their previous 23 championship games.
  • Their impressive unbeaten streak at home in this tournament extends to 10 matches, featuring 9 victories and 1 draw.

Monaco’s Predicted Starting Lineup (4-4-2)*

Philipp Kohn – Vanderson, Mohammed Salisu, Thilo Kehrer, Kassoum Ouattara – Aladji Bamba, Denis Zakaria, Takumi Minamino, Maghnes Akliouche – Mika Bireth, Folarin Balogun. 

Monaco Injury Report

Unavailable due to injury are first-choice goalkeeper Lukasz Hradecky, defender Mohammed Salisu, and midfielders Denis Zakaria and Aleksandr Golovin.

FC Metz Team Analysis

Metz’s Struggling Season Start

The newly promoted side is facing significant challenges at the beginning of the season, earning their first point in the championship only in the 4th round, during a home match against Angers. This draw, while not enough to escape the bottom of the table, at least halted a three-game losing streak and allowed Metz to catch up with Brest – the only other team yet to secure a victory in . Stéphane Le Mignan’s squad has failed to win in regulation time in their last 6 outings across the French championship and promotion playoffs (3 draws, 3 losses). Notably, Metz has scored a total of just 3 goals in 4 rounds; only Nantes has a worse record with 1 goal. 

Key Metz Statistics

  • FC Metz has found the back of the net in 15 of their last 17 matches across , promotion playoffs, and Ligue 2.
  • Both teams scored in 14 of those 17 encounters.
  • Metz has covered the (+1.5) handicap in 15 of their last 16 away fixtures in , playoff matches, and Ligue 2.

Metz’s Predicted Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)*

Jonathan Fischer – Koffi Kouao, Terry Yebe, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Alpha Toure – Boubacar Traore, Benjamin Stambouli – Gautier Hein, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Ibrahima Sane – Habib Diallo. 

Metz Player Availability

Key defender Sadibou Sane still has 2 matches remaining on his suspension.

Match Referee

Stéphanie Frappart (France)

Referee Statistics

  • Matches officiated: 17 (, 2024/25–2025/26);
  • Yellow cards shown (including second yellows): 67;
  • Average yellow cards per match: 3.9;
  • Red cards shown: 4;
  • Average fouls per match: 27;
  • Penalties awarded: 24%.

Monaco vs Metz Match Prediction

Monaco’s Form and Momentum

Thanks to two consecutive victories, Monaco has ascended to 3rd place in the championship standings, and now has an excellent opportunity to solidify their position among the league leaders. The club has triumphed in 5 of their last 7 matches, with both recent setbacks occurring on the road. At home, Monaco has won 9 of their previous 10 league encounters, with at least 3 goals being scored in 8 of those 10 games. 

Metz’s Struggles and Away Record

FC Metz is one of only two clubs that have yet to secure a victory in the current campaign. After four rounds, the team has managed just 1 point, earned at home. In both of their away matches, the club conceded 3 goals and suffered defeats. In fact, at least 3 goals have been scored in regulation time in 9 of Metz’s last 10 away games across , playoff matches, and Ligue 2. 

Final Prediction

Furthermore, Monaco has emerged victorious in their last 8 home encounters against Metz in the league, with at least 3 goals also being scored in 6 of those 8 matches. My prediction is “Monaco Win and Over 2.5 Goals” with odds of 1.51 Fonbet logo  

Disclaimer

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.

Expert Forecasts for Monaco vs Metz – September 21, 2025

Sergey Zimarin profile picture
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Sergey Zimarin
133 / 9 / 113 / ROI -3.6%

Sergey Zimarin’s Analysis

Despite the crushing 1-4 defeat to Club Brugge midweek, there’s little doubt regarding Monaco’s victory over Metz. After all, a participant in the 2024/25 Champions League playoffs and a newcomer are vastly different opponents.

A home victory from Brugge was expected, but not quite in such a dominant fashion. Monaco’s game didn’t click from the start; they were even awarded a penalty in the ninth minute, but Maghnes Akliouche’s shot was saved by the goalkeeper. Subsequent goals were conceded, including after a corner and a free-kick. However, it’s fortunate that the French championship features many teams that don’t quite reach Brugge’s level. Monaco defeated Le Havre, a team roughly comparable to Metz in strength, by a two-goal margin (3-1) at the Stade Louis II.

Metz, on the other hand, only managed to register their first points of the season in the opening round. Since returning from Ligue 2, they had lost to every opponent, albeit narrowly, but accumulated seven conceded goals over three matches. Even fellow newcomer Paris FC defeated them (2-3). They only managed to hold Angers to a draw (1-1), and even then, they squandered a victory by conceding a penalty in the 90th minute. They remain at the bottom of the table, facing a battle for survival.

As Adi Hütter stated after the heavy defeat to Club Brugge, the team has no excuses. Everyone will be eager to make amends, so Metz is likely to face a highly motivated Monaco side. I anticipate Monaco securing a victory with at least a two-goal advantage.

Prediction
Monaco Win with Handicap (–1.5)
Odds
Coefficient
1.75
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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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