Match Overview and Betting Insights

This highly anticipated 2025/26 group stage encounter pits Monaco (France) against Tottenham (England) on October 22nd at the iconic Stade Louis II in Fontvieille. We delve into the crucial third-round match, offering a detailed prediction, betting insights, and key statistics for Monaco vs. Tottenham.

Monaco Analysis

Monaco’s Current Champions League Form

Monaco’s start to the Champions League campaign has been far from ideal, with the French outfit collecting a mere single point from their opening two fixtures, placing them 30th overall. Their solitary point came from a hard-fought home draw against Manchester City, secured by a dramatic late penalty. This followed a substantial 1-4 loss to Club Brugge. Consequently, Monaco’s unenviable winless streak in the Champions League now stretches to five matches (comprising two draws and three defeats). In a bid to reverse their fortunes, the club’s leadership recently appointed Sebastien Pocognoli, formerly of Belgian side Union, as their new head coach.

Monaco Key Statistics

• At least 3 goals were scored in 10 of Monaco’s last 13 UCL matches.
• The team has conceded in 5 consecutive matches in this tournament.
• The club won with a (+1.5) handicap in 15 of their last 18 Champions League matches.

Monaco’s Predicted Starting XI

Philippe Köhn – Thilo Kehrer, Mohammed Salisu, Caio Henrique – Krepin Diatta, Jordan Teze, Aladji Bamba, Kassoum Ouattara – Takumi Minamino, Folarin Balogun, Maghnes Akliouche.

Monaco Injury Update

Monaco faces significant injury concerns, with goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky sidelined. The defensive line is also depleted, missing Christian Mawissa Elebi, Eric Dier, and Vanderson. Midfielders Denis Zakaria, Lamine Camara, and Paul Pogba are also unavailable due to injury.

Tottenham Analysis

Tottenham’s Champions League Performance

In stark contrast to their opponents, Tottenham has enjoyed a more promising start to their Champions League campaign. They commenced with a narrow 1-0 victory over Villarreal on Matchday 1. Following this, the team demonstrated remarkable resilience, fighting back from a 0-2 deficit away at Bodø/Glimt to snatch a late equalizer in the 89th minute. While conceding more than one goal for the first time in six UCL matches, the critical takeaway for Thomas Frank’s squad is securing four points from a possible six, placing them 9th in the overall standings. Their unbeaten run in this prestigious European competition now spans three games (one win, two draws).

Tottenham Key Statistics

• The team conceded in 10 of their last 14 Champions League matches.
• No more than 2 goals were scored in 7 of Tottenham’s last 10 matches in this tournament.
• Tottenham failed to win in 6 of their last 7 away UCL matches (2 draws, 4 losses).

Tottenham’s Predicted Starting XI

Guglielmo Vicario – Djed Spence, Kevin Danso, Archie Gray, Pedro Porro – João Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancur, Lucas Bergvall – Mohammed Kudus, Xavi Simons, Richarlison.

Tottenham Team News

Tottenham also faces significant selection challenges. Defender Micky van de Ven is suspended, adding to a lengthy injury list that includes key defenders Cristian Romero, Destiny Udogie, and Radu Dragusin. In midfield, Yves Bissouma, James Maddison, and Dejan Kulusevski are all sidelined, while striker Dominic Solanke is also unavailable.

Match Official

Referee: Marco Guida

Marco Guida (Italy)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated – 6 (International matches, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Match Prediction: Monaco vs. Tottenham

Overall Match Outlook

While neither team has demonstrated unwavering consistency, both Monaco and Tottenham possess an attacking flair that typically sees them find the back of the net. Monaco has scored in 12 of their previous 15 Champions League fixtures. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are equally apparent, as they’ve managed only two clean sheets in those 15 encounters. This pattern holds particularly true at home, where both teams have scored in five of Monaco’s last seven UCL home games. Furthermore, in those seven home matches, Monaco has shown resilience, suffering only two defeats alongside three wins and two draws.

Tottenham’s Away Form

Tottenham’s recent Champions League record shows a struggle for victories, with the team failing to win in nine of their last thirteen matches (four draws, five losses). Their away form in this elite competition is particularly concerning, yielding just one victory in their last seven road trips. Despite this, Spurs have a strong record of scoring in away matches, having found the net in 16 of their last 20 UCL away games. However, keeping opponents from scoring has been a challenge, with only four clean sheets recorded in those same 20 away fixtures.

Final Prediction

Considering the attacking tendencies of both sides and their respective defensive fragilities, our expert prediction for this crucial match is: Monaco (1X) and Both Teams to Score – Yes with appealing odds of 2.35.