Rayo Vallecano
21.09.2025 15:00 (GMT+2)
Celta
[1] - 2.31
Х - 3.40
[2] - 3.45
1$
2.31
1$
3.45

Rayo Vallecano — Celta : Match Preview and Prediction for September 21,2025

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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta: In-Depth Match Forecast

Match Introduction

The 5th round clash between Rayo Vallecano and Celta is scheduled to take place on September 21 at the “Campo de Vallecas” stadium in Madrid. This preview offers an in-depth look at the upcoming game, including team form, statistical analysis, and a betting recommendation.

Rayo Vallecano’s Season So Far

The Madrid side has managed only one victory to date, which occurred in their opening match against Girona (3:1). Subsequently, they encountered strong opposition, accumulating a mere single point from their last three fixtures. A notable achievement was a 1:1 draw with Barcelona. In their two other away games, Iñigo Pérez’s squad suffered defeats to Athletic Bilbao (0:1) and Osasuna (0:2). With 4 points, the club currently occupies 13th place in the league standings.

Key Statistics for Rayo Vallecano

  • Rayo Vallecano has remained undefeated in 7 of their previous 9 Primera División encounters (4 wins and 3 draws).
  • In 7 of their last 10 home league matches, fewer than three goals were scored.
  • A draw has been the outcome in 6 of the team’s last 8 home games in .

Rayo Vallecano’s Predicted Lineup

Augusto Batalla – Florian Lejeune, Andrei Rațiu, Luis Felipe, Pep Chavarría – Pathé Ciss, Isi Palazón, Pedro Díaz, Unai López, Álvaro García – Jorge de Frutos.

Celta’s Current League Performance

Claudio Giráldez’s team is still searching for their inaugural victory in the current championship. They began the season with a 0:2 home loss to Getafe, followed by a sequence of four consecutive draws, all finishing 1:1. In their most recent fixture, the Galicians narrowly avoided defeat, securing a 1:1 draw at home against Girona with a penalty in the 92nd minute. Holding 4 points, Celta is currently positioned 14th in the table, having played one match more than Rayo Vallecano.

Key Statistics for Celta

  • A maximum of two goals has been recorded in Celta’s last 7 matches in the Primera División.
  • The team has not scored more than 1 goal in any of their last 7 league matches.
  • The Galicians were undefeated in the second half of 9 of their previous 11 away matches in (5 wins and 4 draws).

Celta’s Predicted Lineup

Andrei Radu – Carlos Domínguez, Sergio Carreira, Javi Rodríguez, Óscar Mingueza – Manu Fernández, Ilaix Moriba, Hugo Sotelo – Iago Aspas, Ferran Jutglà, Pablo Durán.

Main Match Prediction: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta

For this upcoming encounter, I do not anticipate a high-scoring game or a dominant victory for either side. It is highly probable that the match will be primarily contested in the midfield, with limited goalmouth action. Both clubs have shown modest offensive output and a lack of spectacular play at the start of the season, averaging approximately one goal or less per game.

 

Form and Head-to-Head Analysis

In 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches played in Madrid in the league, the result was a draw, including one goalless encounter. Given Celta’s recent run of results, a similar stalemate or a narrow win decided by a single goal appears to be a distinct possibility. Rayo Vallecano also has a tendency for draws at home, and in 8 of their last 10 home games, they have failed to score more than one goal. Consequently, it is unlikely that more than two goals will be scored collectively by these opponents.

Final Betting Recommendation

My prediction is “Total Goals Under 2.5”.

 

Author: Oleksandr Oleksenko

 

* The indicated starting lineup for each team is based on their formation in their previous match within this tournament.

Match Predictions: Rayo Vallecano — Celta, September 21, 2025

Expert's Profile Image
р
Andrey Ilyinov
105 / 2 / 83 / ROI -2.5%
 

Rayo Vallecano and Celta are both situated in the lower half of the table, each with four points to their name. However, while the visitors have suffered only one defeat, the hosts have displayed a strong performance exclusively in the first round.

Rayo Vallecano secured a 3:1 victory over Girona, but subsequently endured two goalless away losses to Athletic (0:1) and Osasuna (0:2), followed by a 1:1 draw with Barcelona. At home, the “Bees” exhibit considerably greater strength — maintaining an unbeaten streak of five consecutive matches. Against Celta, their head-to-head statistics are even more compelling: six wins and three draws in their last nine encounters at “Campo de Vallecas.”

Celta has already completed five matches, earning points through four draws (all ending 1:1), with their only defeat coming at the start against Getafe (0:2). The primary challenge for Giráldez’s team is their poor finishing. Despite controlling possession (averaging 58%) and generating numerous scoring opportunities (5.75 xG), the Vigo-based squad has only managed to score four goals. Conversely, they have conceded in every match, with six goals against them compared to an xGA of 4.08.

Rayo Vallecano possesses a historical advantage in head-to-head matches and benefits from playing on their home turf, where they demonstrate greater confidence. Celta, meanwhile, appears to be a team prone to draws, but their absence of victories and weak finishing are concerning indicators. I am predicting a Rayo Vallecano win with a zero handicap.

Prediction
Rayo Vallecano with Handicap (0)
Odds
Coefficient
1.66
 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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