Match Overview

The 4th round match between Werder and Freiburg will take place on September 20 at the Weserstadion in Bremen. This is a comprehensive prediction, including betting odds and statistics for the encounter.

Werder’s Current Form

Horst Steffen’s team secured a confident away victory against Borussia Mönchengladbach (4:0) in the previous round. This marked Werder’s first win of the current championship and their largest in the over the last two years. Furthermore, it was the first clean sheet for the team this season, after conceding seven goals in their first two matches. The Bremen side currently has four points and sits in ninth place in the league table. Notably, the club has scored eight goals this season, a tally only surpassed by Bayern (14).

Werder Home Statistics

• The team has failed to win 6 of their last 8 home matches in the (3 draws, 3 losses).
• The club kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home league games.
• Bremen has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Werder’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)*

Mio Backhaus – Felix Agu, Marco Friedl, Karim Coulibaly, Yukinari Sugawara – Jens Stage, Cameron Puertas, Romano Schmid, Sen Linen, Samuel Mbangula – Marco Grüll.

Defenders Amos Pieper, Olivier Deman, Maximilian Wöber, and Mitchell Weiser are unavailable due to injuries.

Freiburg’s Current Form

In the previous round, Julian Schuster’s side secured a comeback victory against Stuttgart at home (3:1). Freiburg was trailing but scored three goals in the final 10 minutes to clinch their first win of the current season. Additionally, the club extended their scoring streak in the league to 12 matches, though they only managed one clean sheet during this period. Freiburg has accumulated three points and occupies the 13th spot in the league table.

Freiburg Away Statistics

• The club remained undefeated in 7 of their last 8 away matches (5 wins, 2 draws).
• The team scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away league games.
• Freiburg has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 away matches.

Freiburg’s Probable Lineup (4-5-1)*

Noah Atubolu – Jordy Makengo, Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Lukas Kübler – Vincenzo Grifo, Johan Manzambi, Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Jan-Niklas Beste – Lucas Höler.

Midfielder Johan Manzambi is suspended for two matches.

Referee Analysis

Timo Gerach (Germany)

Matches officiated – 12 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 19;

Penalties awarded – 33%.

Match Prediction: Werder vs. Freiburg

The Bremen team has not performed optimally in recent home matches. Specifically, they rarely excel in attack: in their last ten home games, Werder players scored more than one goal on only three occasions. Moreover, in three of these matches, the club failed to score at all. At the same time, Bremen kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home league encounters.

Freiburg, while scoring regularly away from home, has only managed to net more than one goal three times in their last 16 away matches. In four of these games, the team left the field without scoring. Concurrently, Freiburg conceded a maximum of one goal in 6 of their last 8 away league matches, keeping four clean sheets during this period.

Considering these statistics, I believe this match will not feature many goals. My prediction is: Total Goals Under 3 with odds of 1.84.

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.